Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if anyone know the secrets typically the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that sensible money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. I analyzed the particular Western Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West California had this edge in the activity. Nevertheless , My partner and i also came to the realization that there have been a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on that game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West Las vegas versus Louisville
This sport offers all the indications of being one regarding the very best games regarding the year, using both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming backside from appearing down massive in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
If this game were as played on a neutral field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the particular game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to Florida Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 STREET games.
These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the extra added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that extra point will make the big difference between the push plus a loss.
But you may be wondering what about Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are really almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home game titles.
Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for every game in the home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. seven points each game at home. In case an individual failed to do the math concepts, that means considering that his or her last home decline they also have averaged beating their adversaries by way of about 34 factors per game.
Furthermore impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by 13 factors per video game at home due to the fact the year 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Many of those stats have been piled up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They also have had recent games in which they already have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These types of online games weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
To put it succinctly that this is still the close game to call up. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If www.ufabet168.bet/%E0%B8%AA%E0%B8%A1%E0%B8%B1%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%A3%E0%B8%9A%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%84%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%A3%E0%B9%88%E0%B8%B2-%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%84%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%B5 , Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest recommendation is to lay off this game and not necessarily guess at all. There are better video games this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big they could still win right after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this specific video game, people significant about wagering saved money many people can offer better make use of on coming games.